Data Storm! Full Analysis of Key Economic Signals in Week 7 of 2025
This week, major data points bombarded the market consecutively:
CPI inflation rebounded for 7 consecutive months: January CPI soared 0.5% month-over-month, while core CPI doubled to 0.4%, with annual inflation stubbornly remaining above 3%.
PPI wholesale inflation hit a two-year high: The year-over-year growth rate of core PPI reached its highest level since March 2023.
Retail sales experienced a "avalanche-like" reversal: January data plummeted by -0.9%, signaling a sudden "shutdown" after the consumption spree in December?
Contradictions and Opportunities Coexist:
Despite the "all-negative" data, the S&P 500 refreshed its all-time high on Friday against the odds!
With the Fed's rate-cut expectations fading, why is the market still aggressively betting on a bull market?
In-depth technical analysis: The S&P 500 futures daily chart shows "sideways consolidation," while the 4-hour chart hides a three-wave pullback signal. Can the key support level of 5,008-5,009 hold?
Forward-Looking Trading Strategies:
If the historical high of 6,001.63 is broken, the target will be set at 6,002.015.
Beware of the "deep pullback" risk, but is the long-term bullish logic still solid?
Exclusive chart analysis of CME Micro S&P futures trends reveals the trading window for next week!
Warning and Reminder:
With inflation not receding and consumption cooling sharply, the specter of stagflation looms. Can the Fed's "hold-the-course" policy support the market? The answers are in this hard-core analysis!
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